Elsevier

Heart Rhythm

Volume 5, Issue 11, November 2008, Pages 1501-1507
Heart Rhythm

Original-clinical
Atrial fibrillation progression and management: A 5-year prospective follow-up study

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hrthm.2008.08.011Get rights and content

Background

Few data on atrial fibrillation (AF) progression from the first paroxysmal episode are available.

Objective

The purpose of this study was to assess the progression of AF not due to potentially reversible causes in patients treated according to current guidelines recommendations that also include catheter ablation.

Methods

Among 402 screened patients with first AF, 106 patients (mean age 57.5 years) were selected and followed for 5 years. Of these patients, 54 had lone AF and 52 had comorbidities.

Results

Fifty patients (61.1% with lone AF) had no further recurrence after 5 years. The remaining 56 patients within 19 months after the first episode developed recurrent paroxysmal AF requiring long-term antiarrhythmic drug therapy, which was continued in 45 patients and was stopped because of intolerance/failure in 11 patients who underwent catheter ablation. AF became persistent in 24 of the 45 patients on antiarrhythmic drug therapy and then permanent in 16, of whom 6 had refused catheter ablation at the time of persistence. No AF recurrences or AF progression occurred after ablation. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that patients with comorbidities were more likely to progress than were those with lone AF (P <.001) and that patients who underwent catheter ablation were at lower risk for progression to permanent AF than were those on antiarrhythmic drug therapy (P = .029). Age, diabetes, and heart failure (P <.001) predict final progression to permanent AF.

Conclusion

Patients with first AF and comorbidities are at higher risk for rapid progression to permanent AF, and age, diabetes, and heart failure are independent predictors. Catheter ablation rather than antiarrhythmic drug therapy is beneficial in eliminating recurrences delaying arrhythmia progression.

Introduction

At present, no prospective data on atrial fibrillation (AF) progression and management according to recent AF guideline recommendations are available.1, 2 Published data on AF progression mainly derive from retrospective analyses3, 4, 5, 6 or survey data registries.7 To date, no prospective information that includes a potential influence of catheter ablation is available. Accordingly, the purpose of this prospective study was to report additional data on AF progression and management, which includes catheter ablation as an alternative to conventional antiarrhythmic drug therapy.

Section snippets

Study population

All consecutive patients admitted to the emergency department with a first episode of paroxysmal AF were recruited for this 5-year prospective follow-up study. Final inclusion required ECG confirmation of the arrhythmia and verification of the episode as the first recognized AF event for the individual without previous antiarrhythmic drug therapy. Patients with arrhythmia due to potentially reversible causes, such as acute or recent (<6 months) myocardial infarction, recent cardiac surgery, New

Study population

Enrollment began between January 2002 and July 2002, and the study ended in July 2007. Among 402 screened patients, 244 had potentially reversible causes and were excluded from the study. Of the 158 eligible patients, 52 declined to enter the study, and the remaining 106 patients completed the study protocol (Figure 1). Baseline clinical characteristics of the 106 patients and of those who progressed are given in Table 1. Heart failure was present in 12.2% of subjects with preserved left

Discussion

According to current guidelines for classification and management, AF is characterized by different clinical forms depending on its clinical presentation and course, in all probability reflecting different stages with multiple mechanisms.1, 2 Frequently, a first episode is due to a reversible cause, and in most cases after treatment of the underlying disease AF will not recur and no therapy is required.1, 2 However, in other patients, the first episode may not be due to a reversible cause, and

Conclusion

This prospective study provides new insights into AF progression and shows that over 5-year follow-up, patients with lone AF are less likely to progress from the first detected episode to permanent AF. Age, diabetes mellitus, and heart failure predict final progression, which indicates a significant role of underlying heart disease in modulating such progression. Catheter ablation may be of benefit in preventing AF recurrences and delaying final AF progression, but larger randomized studies are

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