Original Article
Copeptin (C-terminal pro Arginine-Vasopressin) is an Independent Long-Term Prognostic Marker in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hlc.2014.10.008Get rights and content

Background

The level of copeptin, a stable fragment of pro-arginine-vasopressin (AVP), correlates with disease severity. It is an established, short-term prognostic marker for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFREF). We aimed to examine the association between copeptin and long-term mortality. We also studied the clinical usefulness of copeptin as a prognostic biomarker by analysing the improvement of net reclassification.

Methods

Copeptin concentrations were measured in a cohort of 195 consecutive patients with HFREF. Disease severity and clinical parameters were determined at baseline, and all-cause mortality was recorded after five-year follow-up.

Results

One hundred and ten patients died during the five-year follow-up (five-year mortality rate: 0.56). Univariate analysis identified copeptin (HR 2.168 [95% CI 1.740-2.700]) as a predictor of mortality. The final, multivariable Cox survival model identified a number of independent predictors of death. These included higher NHYA functional class, previous MI, at least one hospitalisation for worsening HF (within the two years before inclusion into the study), elevated blood urea nitrogen, NT-proBNP-, and copeptin levels, as well as increased red blood cell distribution width, and decreased GFR. The addition of copeptin alone to the baseline predictive model (NT-proBNP only) resulted in a minor (8.21%) improvement, whereas the final, multivariable model showed a significant increase in net reclassification (10.26%, p = 0.015).

Conclusions

These data indicate that copeptin is an independent long-term prognostic marker in HFREF, with possible clinical relevance for multimarker risk prediction algorithms.

Section snippets

Background

Neurohormonal activation plays a major role in chronic heart failure (CHF). Natriuretic peptides have been investigated far and wide in CHF, and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) has become an established diagnostic and prognostic marker [1]. However, other endocrine mechanisms such as the vasopressin system were also investigated in heart failure. Vasopressin, an antidiuretic and vasoconstrictor hormone is produced in the supraoptic and paraventricular nuclei of the hypothalamus. It is secreted

Patients

This paper describes the post-hoc analysis of a prospectively collected cohort study conducted at the 3rd Department of Internal Medicine, Semmelweis University (Budapest, Hungary). The study was implemented in compliance with the Helsinki Declaration, and its protocol was approved by the Scientific and Research Ethics Committee of the Medical Research Council, Hungary.

Inclusion criteria: Consecutive patients with clinical signs of CHF, referred for transthoracic echocardiography between

Characteristics of the Patient Population

Baseline clinical and laboratory characteristics of the cohort are shown in Table 1. Males predominated the study population (74.4%) with a median age of 69.5 years. The median of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 34% (all values were less than 45%), and the subjects’ baseline status corresponded to New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional classes I to IV. The aetiology of heart failure was ischaemic heart disease in 57.9% of the patients. Concomitant diseases included

Discussion

In this study, we examined the long-term (five-year) prognostic value of copeptin in predicting death in patients with HFREF. Our most important finding is the strong and independent five-year prognostic role of copeptin in HFREF. In the stepwise, multivariable Cox survival model, both copeptin and NT-proBNP were independent predictors of death, even when further adjusted for clinical risk factors. ROC curve analysis is not the best statistical method for comparing the prognostic values of

Conclusion

In this long-term, prospective cohort study conducted in heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction, we confirmed the independent prognostic value of copeptin for all-cause mortality. A minor, but significant increase in integrated discrimination and net reclassification for copeptin and certain clinical variables was also observed, as compared to NT-proBNP.

Limitations

This was a single-centre study in a population of elderly people with several co-morbidities. Furthermore, the moderate size of the study cohort did not allow for the identification of rare therapeutic modalities as possible predictors of death. Finally, although our study did not establish copeptin as a new, robust biomarker in HF, our data may lend further support to a role for the arginine-vasopressin system in the pathogenesis and treatment of HF. However, this assumption will have to be

Acknowledgement

This work was supported by the National Research Fund (NF72689 Z Prohászka). No other extramural funding was obtained. The authors are solely responsible for the design and conduct of this study, for all study analyses, as well as for the drafting and editing of the manuscript, and for the final content of the submitted paper. We are grateful to our patients for their participation in this study. We acknowledge the skillful technical assistance of Holeczky Rudolfné, Szigeti Antalné, Korponai

References (28)

  • A. Maisel et al.

    Increased 90-day mortality in patients with acute heart failure with elevated copeptin: secondary results from the Biomarkers in Acute Heart Failure (BACH) study

    Circ Heart Fail.

    (2011)
  • C.H. Nickel et al.

    The role of copeptin as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker for risk stratification in the emergency department

    BMC Med.

    (2012)
  • M. Katan et al.

    The stress hormone copeptin: a new prognostic biomarker in acute illness

    Swiss Med Wkly.

    (2010)
  • J.W. Ferguson et al.

    Therapeutic role of vasopressin receptor antagonism in patients with liver cirrhosis

    Clin Sci (Lond).

    (2003)
  • Cited by (38)

    • Prognostic value of copeptin in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

      2019, Journal of Neuroimmunology
      Citation Excerpt :

      Copeptin was a surrogate marker for vasopressin release and might act as a marker for stress response (Morgenthaler et al., 2006). Copeptin has been proposed as a prognostic marker in many acute illness, such as intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) (Zhang et al., 2012; Yu et al., 2014; Zweifel et al., 2010), ischemic stroke (De Marchis et al., 2013; Tu et al., 2013), acute myocardial infarction (Lattuca et al., 2019), traumatic brain injury (Choi et al., 2017), cardio-cerebrovascular patients (Sun et al., 2015) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (Pozsonyi et al., 2015). Interestingly, one study reported that copeptin level was a useful, complementary tool to predict functional outcome and mortality after aSAH (Zhu et al., 2011), while Fung et al. (Fung et al., 2013) found that copeptin may indicate clinical severity of the initial bleeding and may therefore help in guiding treatment decisions in the setting of aSAH.

    • Copeptin in heart failure: Review and meta-analysis

      2017, Clinica Chimica Acta
      Citation Excerpt :

      Copeptin is not a superior predictor of all-cause mortality in HF patients, as compared with NT-proBNP. Pozsonyi et al. [31] used ROC analysis to estimate prognostic accuracy of biomarkers'. In the multivariable Cox model, they selected NT-proBNP level as a reference, and found that NT-proBNP level plus copeptin resulted in an improvement of prognostic accuracy with 0.033 in c-statistics, this improvements of prognostic accuracy was marginally significant (P = 0.068).

    • Novel Biomarkers of Heart Failure

      2017, Advances in Clinical Chemistry
    • The role of postictal laboratory blood analyses in the diagnosis and prognosis of seizures

      2017, Seizure
      Citation Excerpt :

      In ACS, copeptin indicates the presence of myocardial ischemia [151]. As a general stress marker, copeptin displayed mild elevations in perinatal infant stress and in healthy students who were experiencing psychological stress before taking exams [152–174]. In a multicenter, prospective ER study of 389 patients, copeptin levels were found to be elevated after seizures occurred, but they were unable to predict complications such as seizure recurrence, mortality and hospitalizations [175].

    • Elevated copeptin is a prognostic factor for mortality even in patients with renal dysfunction

      2016, International Journal of Cardiology
      Citation Excerpt :

      Also in hemodialysis patients with diabetes mellitus, increased copeptin levels show an increased risk for all-cause mortality [23]. Some studies used cutoff copeptin levels which even differ between these studies [7,24] and others analyzed continuous copeptin values [23,25]. In order to use copeptin as a valuable biomarker and predictor in every day practice, uniform cutoff values need to be defined in future prospective trials.

    View all citing articles on Scopus
    View full text