Original article
Adult cardiac
Impact of Renal Dysfunction on Long-Term Survival After Isolated Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.athoracsur.2009.01.065Get rights and content

Background

Preoperative renal dysfunction has been an important predictor for adverse cardiovascular events after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). In the past, serum creatinine was widely used to assess renal function. Until recently, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was recommended in evaluating renal function. The Cockcroft-Gault formula and the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equation are two widely used formulas in clinical practice. Which method best predicts long-term outcome after CABG is still unknown. This study compared the predictive effectiveness of the Cockcroft-Gault formula, the MDRD equation, and serum creatinine level for in-hospital and long-term mortality.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed data collected from 5559 patients who underwent isolated CABG at Fuwai Hospital from January 1999 to December 2005. The main outcomes were in-hospital and long-term mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Cox analysis were used for the comparison.

Results

Mean follow-up was 56.5 ± 24.6 months. ROC curve analysis showed that the Cockcroft-Gault formula had the greatest accuracy for predicting in-hospital mortality (area under the curve, 0.755; p ω 0.001). Multivariate analysis confirmed that the eGFR based on the Cockcroft-Gault formula was an independent predictor of in-hospital (odds ratio, 4.51, p ω 0.001) and long-term (hazard ratio, 1.54; p = 0.003) mortality. Both formulas were better than the serum creatinine level.

Conclusions

Both formulas could provide a better measure of risk assessment than serum creatinine for in-hospital and long-term mortality. The Cockcroft-Gault formula was better than the MDRD equation for predicting in-hospital mortality.

Section snippets

Patients

The study included 5559 patients who underwent isolated CABG between January 1999 and December 2005. A prespecified case report form was designed for data collection. Definitions of preoperative characteristics were consistent with those of Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) database. Data were 100% complete for critical preoperative risk factors of interest as well as for each major postoperative hospital outcome.

Estimation of Renal Function

No patient in this study was receiving dialysis before CABG. The last single SCr

Results

The study included 5559 consecutive patients who underwent isolated CABG. These patients were divided by the Cockcroft-Gault formula. There were 21 patients (0.38%) with severe renal dysfunction (eGFR ω 30 mL/min/1.73 m2), 1031 (18.5%) with moderate renal dysfunction (eGFR 30 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m2), 2765 (49.7%) with mild renal dysfunction (eGFR 60 to 89 mL/min/1.73 m2), and 1742 (31.3%) with normal renal function (eGFR ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2). Perioperative characteristics for patients in the four

Principle Findings

We compared the predictive effectiveness of the Cockcroft-Gault formula, the MDRD equation, and SCr for in-hospital and long-term mortality in patients after isolated CABG at our institution. Both the Cockcroft-Gault formula and the MDRD equation could provide a better measure of risk assessment than SCr for in-hospital and long-term mortality. The Cockcroft-Gault formula was better than the MDRD equation for predicting in-hospital mortality. There was no significant difference between the MDRD

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      A meta-analysis, including 44 trials related to cardiac and vascular surgical procedures, observed a higher risk of death in a short- and long-term follow-up in subjects with GFR <60 mL/min [16]. In addition, evidence indicates that GFR estimated by the Cockroft-Gault method is superior to the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease study equation in predicting adverse events in short- and long-term follow-up [17]. Risk scores for CABG already include GFR estimated by Cockroft Gault as a risk variable for adverse events [18].

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      The margin of error appears to increase with an increasing body mass index; this was a principle reason to base our assessment of renal function on serum creatinine levels. Lin et al. [9] found that eGFR calculated by Cockcroft-Gault formula was a more accurate predictor of long term survival following isolated CABG than that calculated by MDRD, while both were deemed statistically better then serum creatinine. They note that eGFR on multivariate analysis was an independent predictor of in-hospital (odds ratio, 4.51, p < 0.001) and long-term (hazard ratio, 1.54; p = 0.003) mortality.

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    The first three authors contributed equally to this work.

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