Progress in cardiologyPrevalence of congenital heart disease☆
Section snippets
Natural history and survival
The tables below attempt to estimate the survival of untreated and treated subjects with the different lesions. The tables start from 1940 because very few subjects with these lesions born before this date will still be alive. The single exception is BAV, in which the peak age for surgery is from 60 to 80 years, so that in this table alone the starting date is 1920. One assumption applied to all the tables is that the incidences of each form of CHD remained constant over the years.
Conclusion
The data presented in Figure 1, Figure 2, Figure 3, Figure 4 are summarized in Figures 5, A–D, by adding separately the numbers for simple, moderate, and complex lesions, as well as repeating the bicuspid valve data from Figure 3, D. The simple lesions include VSDs, treated or small PDA, mild or treated PS, and treated total anomalous pulmonary venous connection. In total, 1.2 million children have been born with these lesions since 1940, about the same as the total of the moderate (ASD,
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Supported in part by Program Project Grant HL 25847 from the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health.